Is Trump Striking Iran?

Jun 22, 2025

Will Trump strike Iran? He says maybe yes, maybe no. He’s giving Iran two more weeks to surrender. Meanwhile, Israel's bombing, Iran's firing back, and the crisis is spiraling. The news is flooded with noise—some true, some fake. We're here to cut through the chaos and lay out what really happened. No fluff, no spin. Subscribe, share, stay with us.

Those taking sides are repeating mostly the same olds. A lot of people are just confused. What’s actually going on? Where did this all begin? And more importantly—where is it heading?

This is Trump’s show now—war abroad, troops at home, peace on the line, all riding on one man. We’ll break it down in two parts: this episode is about Iran. Next one, domestic crisis. Harvard can wait.

So how does Trump’s instinct play out? Will Bibi’s war become Trump’s? What are his choices, what does he really want—and where is this all going?

Let’s start with what just happened.

The Bombing

On Friday the 13th, June 2025, Israel launched “Operation Rising Lion”—a massive strike aimed at Iran’s nuclear facilities and missile systems.

They didn’t just hit hardware. They went after top generals. Inside Iran, Mossad had deployed drones and sabotage teams operating out of secret bases near Tehran, using local assets and precision weapons to strike from within.

By June 17, Israel had knocked out most of Iran’s air defenses and was effectively controlling the skies over Tehran. This wasn’t just a hit on nukes—it was a full-spectrum assault on Iran’s command structure, military power, and even their state media.

Iran fired back—ballistic missiles, suicide drones. Israel’s Iron Dome intercepted over 95%. Both sides hit hospitals. One Iranian missile fragment struck the U.S. embassy building in Tel Aviv, causing no casualty.

Secretary of State Rubio quickly stated: This was Israel’s move, not ours.

The world reacted with outrage. But neither side backed down. The crisis deepened.

The big question remains: Why did Israel strike? What set this war in motion?

Iran’s Nuclear Program

The headlines are new. The problem? As old as the nuclear age: Iran’s bomb.

Israel’s position is simple and absolute—if Iran gets nukes, Israel ceases to exist. So preemptive strike, they argue, is survival. Western allies nod in agreement. Germany’s Chancellor Merz put it bluntly: “Israel’s doing the dirty work for the rest of us.”

But this time, the assault goes way beyond nukes. Israel isn’t just trying to delay a nuclear program—they’re trying to break Iran’s military back, kill top leaders, and send a message: back off or be dismantled.

Netanyahu even addressed Iranians directly—calling on them to rise up, overthrow the regime, and claiming that killing Khamenei would bring peace and freedom. Psychological warfare, regime change, and international messaging—all in one.

Historically, Israel doesn’t tolerate nukes in enemy hands. Mossad agents, IDF airstrikes—if you’re building a bomb, they’ll come for you.

In 1981, they bombed Iraq’s Osirak reactor.

In 2007, they destroyed a Syrian reactor built with North Korean help.

But Iran is a different beast—bigger, stronger, more threatening, much more complex.

Until 2020, Israel had never bombed targets deep inside Iran—only sabotage, drone hits, assassinations. But since then, attacks escalated: Natanz, Karaj, Tehran suburbs, missile sites, drone factories.

But never open airstrikes. Until now.

Why now? Because Iran’s uranium is now enriched to60% —just short of weapons-grade. Time’s almost up.

And there’s another reason: Trump.

P5+1, JCPOA

The crisis today stems from one key turning point: Trump’s withdrawal from the Iran nuclear deal (JCPOA). Once he tore it up, everything reset—and the danger grew. His 2015 push for bilateral nuclear talks only made things worse, laying the fuse for the current war. Without this context, nothing about Iran’s nuclear program makes sense.

Back in 2002, Iran’s secret construction of nuclear facilities sparked international alarm.

The UN Security Council imposed multiple rounds of sanctions, dealing a severe blow to Iran’s economy.

In 2006, the P5+1 (the five permanent members of the UN Security Council plus Germany) began multilateral negotiations with Iran. The Obama administration led the diplomatic push.

On July 14, 2015, the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) was signed.

Key provisions:

Iran agreed to limit the purity and stockpile of enriched uranium
Shut down its Fordow underground enrichment facility
Accept ongoing inspections from the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)
In return, Western nations would lift economic sanctions in phases

Though some UN sanctions were paused, they were never fully repealed under international law.

Between 2015 and 2018, the IAEA confirmed more than 10 times that Iran was complying.

The nuclear program was effectively frozen, and Iran’s economy began to recover.

Then in May 2018, Trump unilaterally withdrew from the JCPOA, reinstated sanctions—and added more. Iran’s economy took another major hit, and the deal unraveled.

Iran began discarding JCPOA limits, ramping up both its nuclear and missile programs.

U.S.–Iran tensions escalated, triggering recurring clashes and confrontations.

Why did Trump rip it up? Not because Iran violated it or out of strategic reasoning—but merely to dismantle everything tied to Obama’s legacy.

Trump miscalculated. Iran didn’t collapse. It didn’t come begging for a new deal.

The leverage vanished. The mess ballooned into a massive ticking time bomb.

President Biden tried to revive the JCPOA, but talks stalled—Iran demanded that U.S. sanctions be lifted first，whereas Washington insisted on a synchronized exchange.

Meanwhile, the Ukraine war, the Gaza conflict, and global instability complicated negotiations.

By 2025, the situation had worsened dramatically.

Iran had enriched uranium to over 60% purity, just shy of weapons-grade. IAEA reports also raised serious concerns about transparency and oversight.

Trump could no longer pretend victory. Faced with reality, he restarted bilateral talks.

But the question remains: Can he actually make a deal this time?

Crisis

Trump sells himself as a superb dealmaker, a peacemaker. But everywhere he meddles, the world inches closer to war. He didn’t just inherit the Iran crisis—he made it.

Seven years ago, he tore up the Iran nuclear deal (JCPOA) and set a timer. The clock’s been ticking ever since.

By April 2025, Trump had no choice—he reached out to Iran’s Supreme Leader Khamenei, proposing a new nuclear deal in 60 days. Negotiators met in Oman, Rome, behind closed doors.

But Iran doesn’t trust Trump. Who would? He pulled out of the last deal, imposed “maximum pressure,” and now expected them to give in. Iran said: lift sanctions first, then we’ll talk.

Day 61 came—and Israeli bombs rained down.

Iran’s deep nuclear sites—like Fordow—are buried too far underground for Israel to reach. Only the U.S. has the bunker-busting bombs to destroy them.

The GBU-57 “Massive Ordnance Penetrator” can tear through 200 feet of rock and concrete. But only America’s B-2 bombers can deliver it.

Would Trump use them?

Bombing Iran risks radiation leaks, mass casualties, and political fallout. Regime change? Even riskier. Who replaces the mullahs? Iran’s not Iraq or Afghanistan—it’s bigger, more complex, and won’t fall easily.

Trump’s pressure campaign backfired, spiraled into war, and now America faces an impossible choice: fight or walk. And MAGA is splitting wide open.

The Truth

MAGA’s civil strife boils down to two questions:

Is Iran really building a bomb?
What the hell do we do about it?

Truth matters when you’re talking about war. No nukes, no justification to strike.

On March 25, 2025, Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard testified:

“No, Iran is not building a bomb. Supreme Leader Khamenei has not reauthorized Iran's nuclear weapons program suspended since 2003.”

Yes, Iran has more enriched uranium than ever—but that doesn’t mean they’re making a bomb.

Trump’s response? “I don’t care what she says. I think they’re close.”

IAEA reports confirmed Iran had 9.2 tons of enriched uranium, with enough 60% material to build nine bombs—if they go the final step to weapons-grade. But weaponization still takes 1–2 years and would be hard to hide.

So what’s really going on? Iran pushed enrichment after Trump ditched the deal—to pressure the West, not start a war.

But Trump plays tough guy. If he says Iran has nukes, then they have nukes. As the 60-day clock ran out, he declared diplomacy dead.

On day 61, Israeli jets lit up Tehran.

Trump disavowed the strike at first. Then backtracked. Then threatened war. He told Iran to surrender. Evacuate civilians. We’re not killing Khamenei—“for now.” Then added: sign the deal now, or else.

He’s playing bad cop to Netanyahu’s worse cop—cranking pressure to the max.

Tulsi warned against war. So did VP J.D. Vance, Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene, and Tucker Carlson. This is MAGA’s breaking point: Trump’s war versus MAGA isolationism.

MAGA hates endless wars. They oppose regime change, occupation, nation-building，costly foreign adventures. Trump used to agree. But now he’s playing brinkmanship again.

The Nimitz strike group is in the Indian Ocean. The Carl Vinson’s in the Gulf. Stealth fighters and refueling planes are in place. All the pieces are on the board.

Iran’s foreign minister called Trump’s envoy Steve Witkoff. Senior officials warn：“This is not your war.” “If we wanted nukes, we’d have them long ago.” Iran agreed to talk with Europe—but not with the US while IDF bombs are falling.

Meanwhile, antiwar voices rise—across Congress, the MAGA base, the international community, and inside Iran. Activists, Nobel winners, filmmakers, clerics—all saying: Stop the slaughter.

Iran’s regime won’t step down. War is just one reckless decision away.

Trump gave them two more weeks. Another bluff? Or another blunder?

White House press secretary Leavitt says: “We trust President Trump.”

The real question is: should we?

I’m Fengming. See you next time.

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